21. November 2024
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Global temperatur januar 2022.

scientist dubietasby scientist dubietas

 

   https://www.klimarealistene.com/2022/02/02/global-temperatur-januar-2022/

 

Global temperatur januar 2022. Roy Spencer.Geir Aaslid. Årets første måned viser en total mangel på global oppvarming. Med ytterligere litt nedgang vil det være saklig å omtale klimaendringene som globakl nedkjøling.

Temperaturdata for januar fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer. Globalt satellittmålt temperaturavvik fra gjennomsnittlig temperatur (TLT) for januar korrigerer klart ned med 0,03 o C fra forrige måned, i det sjette året med global nedkjøling. Pausen i signifikant global oppvarming tydeliggjøres ved at 2021 bare ble det åttende varmeste året i UAH-dataene. Vi viser til januar måned (2019) for informasjon om hvordan FNs klimapanel redefinerer beregning av klima. For informasjon om værfenomenet ENSO (El Niño og La Niña), se Klimanytt120.

UAH har temperaturdata fra troposfæren

UAH står for «University of Alabama Huntsville», som publiserer månedlig avvik fra et gjennomsnitt av global temperatur for referanseperioden 1991-2020. Dette er ett av fem globale datasett for temperatur, og av mange regnet for datasettet med høyest kvalitet. Januar 2022 korrigerer med (0,03 o C) klart ned fra forrige måneds (0,21 o C), og da er vi lavere enn (0,08 o C) fra november ifjor.

  • Tall for de enkelte regionene kommer senere.

Dataene her er fra lavere troposfære (du kan se UAH-temperatur for hver måned siden 1979 her), men interesserte finner data hos UAH også for Mid-troposfæren, tropopausen og lavere stratosfære.

Det blir mer og mer umulig å frykte den globale oppvarmingen, for oss som studerer temperaturene.

På villspor med Meteorologisk Institutt

Vi skrev tidligere om vår dialog med Meteorologisk Institutt, eller rettere sagt, med klimatologene ved MET, som hevder at klimamodellene er gode, mens alle andre, inkludert FNs klimapanel, sier det motsatte. Vi har fått svar fra MET, ved deres klimatologer, i en epost datert 25.januar. Klimarealistene har ikke lyktes med å få svar på hva meteorologene mener om saken, og det har muligens noe å gjøre med at MET nå er administert av Klimadepartementet, som er ledet av en klimaminister som ikke er helt god.

Vi kommer tilbake til saken når vi har formulert ferdig vårt svar til MET, men illustrasjonen under viser de spørsmålene vi ikke har fått saklig svar på, eller hvor MET nekter å besvare spørsmålene. MET ved deres kommunikasjonssjef mener saken er avsluttet, noe KR er uenig i. Om nødvendig vil vi be sivilombudsmannen vudere om MET har lovlig grunn til å avslutte dialogen uten å besvare saklige spørsmål og uten å vise konkret til dokumentasjon som hevdes å erstatte deres manglende svar.

Som man kan se av vår dialog med MET står det dårlig til der i gården. Vi overlater til våre lesere å kommentere detaljene i de mer eller mindre ubesvarte spørsmålene.

ENSO-varsler

ENSO står for «El Niño Southern Oscillation» og består av to faser av den betydeligste havstrømmen på vår klode, et værfenomen i Stillehavet som gir varmeutveksling mellom hav og atmosfære; El Niño (avvik over 0,5 C) hvor varmt overflatevann avgir varme til atmosfæren med vanndampens konveksjon, og La Niña  (avvik under -0,5 C) hvor kaldere overflatevann bidrar til lavere atmosfærisk temperatur. Det er solinnstrålingen og jordvarme nedenifra som bidrar til endret havtemperatur, det er ikke CO2. ENSO -fenomenet påvirker ikke global temperatur varig, og vanligvis ser vi over tid en retur til normal temperatur. Likevel selger klimaindustrien varme utslag som menneskeskapt oppvarming fra fossile brensler, mens alle kalde utslag møtes med taushet eller beskrives som ekstremvær.

Som figuren viser, er det ikke usannsynlig at årets La Nina vil fortsette til høsten, men prognosene så langt frem har lav treffsikkerhet.

NOAA i USA modellerer sin nyeste ENSO status for SST (temperatur på havoverflaten), i figuren over en fersk analyse (31. jan.) en fortsatt La Niña sesong gjennom utover våren på nordlige halvkule, med 51 % sjanse for en retur til nøytrale forhold i perioden april til juni 2022.

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